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Growth model and unit economics.

Set your own assumptions and see conservative, base and optimistic scenarios side by side with the no-plan baseline. The arithmetic is published and tested; the inputs are yours; the output is an estimate.

Estimates only. This model multiplies the assumptions you set. It is not a forecast, not a promise of income, and it cannot know your audience. Change any input and the outputs change.

Assumptions

Monthly visits to your link or landing page 8,000From tracked links or your site analytics. Not profile views.

Click-through to the paid destination 5%Share of visits that click your primary call to action.

Conversion of those clicks 2%Share of clicks that become paying supporters.

Net value per supporter per month $12What you keep per supporter per month after the platform fee.

Monthly retention 60%Share of supporters still paying the next month.

Platform fee 20%Used only to show gross. Most platforms publish 15-20%.

Monthly growth services and tools $995Everything you would pay for help, including any XXXLR8 proposal.

Assumed conversion uplift from the plan 20%The scenario lever. Conservative halves it; optimistic multiplies it by 1.5. Nobody can guarantee it.

Horizon (months) 6

Conservative-$5,874incremental net over 6 months vs doing nothing, after $995/mo of servicesDoes not pay back in this horizon · break-even needs 83 added supporters/month

Base-$5,751incremental net over 6 months vs doing nothing, after $995/mo of servicesDoes not pay back in this horizon · break-even needs 83 added supporters/month

Optimistic-$5,602incremental net over 6 months vs doing nothing, after $995/mo of servicesDoes not pay back in this horizon · break-even needs 83 added supporters/month

Cumulative net, with the plan vs baseline

Baseline (no plan)ConservativeBaseOptimistic

Scenario	Month 1 net	Month 6 net	Active supporters at end	Total net
Conservative	-$889	-$787	17	-$4,911
Base	-$880	-$720	23	-$4,654
Optimistic	-$870	-$644	29	-$4,377

Net = active supporters x net value per supporter, minus services. Baseline uses your current conversion with no service cost. All figures are rounded.